专项研究 · Dip Research

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正在读取抄底盘 · Loading Dip Watch…

Key levels and trade conditions

Delayed quotes · Technical conditions

$78.54 USD2026-11-13 19:40 UTC

Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.

Hold and monitor; no addition yet

Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.

Defense$77.95

Breakout$86.15

Toward defense ↙

To defense -0.8%To breakout +9.7%

Medium-term reference (not the near-term trigger)Defense $76.41 · Breakout $82.00

When does defense take priority?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close below $77.95 → consider reducing

When to consider adding?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close above $86.15 → consider a staged addition

Completed session: 2026-11-12 · Completed-session volume ratio 0.67× · MA20 $89.47

Range basis session: 2026-11-12 · Yahoo Finance

Level methodology and recent changes

Near term: trigger levels use the five sessions preceding the latest completed session, never that session’s own high/low. Confirmation requires a close beyond the boundary and 1.5× prior-20-session average volume. The crossed level becomes the new reference; any next boundary comes from observed prior-20-session highs/lows. The five-session range rolls after the next completed session, not with intraday quotes.

Current base window starts: 2026-11-06

2026-11-05 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $82.00–$92.43 → —–$82.00 · Close $78.39 / 1.67×
2026-10-28 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $91.63–$103.15 → —–$91.63 · Close $91.43 / 2.05×
2026-09-30 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $114.93–$126.74 → $111.96–$114.93 · Close $112.50 / 1.54×
2026-09-18 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $101.71–$116.40 → $116.40–$121.42 · Close $119.82 / 1.64×
2026-09-03 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $100.68–$112.07 → $112.07–— · Close $124.72 / 2.81×

Tilt shows price location, not a probability. Combine technical signals with company research and your risk tolerance. No trades are executed.

01Newstock overall assessment

The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.

Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.

02What happened recently

Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.

US 10Y yield 5.15%2026-11-13T19:21:54.000Z

VIX 19.072026-11-13T19:21:46.000Z

Dollar index 103.392026-11-13T19:27:00.000Z

Market and sector reference

HOOD -3.48% · SPY -0.51% · Peer average +1.26% (AFRM, AXP, FISV, MA, PYPL)

2026-11-13T19:30:46.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.

03Is the company worth considering?

Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.

Analyst consensus and disagreement

Target-price summary $100.00–$170.00 · Consensus $133.14

Buy / hold / sell 19 / 3 / 0

Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T19:41:11.583Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.

Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.60 · $0.51–$0.72 · 8 analysts

Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 3

Estimate dispersion 35.0%

Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T19:41:11.453Z

04Is now a good time?

Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.

Technical structure · Downtrend structure

MA5 $82.30

MA10 $83.18

MA20 $89.47

MA60 $104.44

Last completed-session close $81.35 (-3.82%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.67×

Prior 20-session range $75.51–$104.40 · MA20 change over five sessions -6.40% · CMF20 -0.05

Long upper wick; rally rejected

Confirmation to watch: a close above $104.40 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $75.51 weakens the setup.

Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12

05What would change our assessment?

Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.

Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.