Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Below defense; watch reduction conditions
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $77.95 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $86.15 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T17:11:24.000Z
VIX 19.742026-11-13T17:11:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.362026-11-13T17:16:28.000Z
Market and sector reference
HOOD -4.34% · SPY -0.75% · Peer average +1.26% (AFRM, AXP, FISV, MA, PYPL, V)
2026-11-13T17:18:08.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
14 direct · 4 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
1 duplicate reports of the same events merged
- #1Impact6.5%FavorableDirectRobinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates2 outlets17d ago
The company itself delivered an earnings and revenue beat, validating trading volumes and product monetization.
Also named: SCHW · IBKR · ETFC · CBOE · ICE · NDAQ
As the company in focus, a record Q3 revenue print would directly reinforce Robinhood's trading-volume, margin-interest and subscription growth narrative, supporting a higher valuation multiple.
Also named: SCHW · IBKR · SOFI · XYZ · UPST · COIN
- #3Impact4.5%FavorableDirectRobinhood Made $173 Million From Prediction Markets Last Quarter, More Than From Crypto. Can That Carry the Stock?7d ago
Prediction-markets revenue has already surpassed crypto revenue, indicating the product has moved beyond experimentation into a meaningful revenue stream and could lift valuation assumptions around the platform’s monetization power if it scales.
Also named: IBKR · SCHW · DKNG · PENN · CZR · COIN
- #4Impact5.2%FavorableDirectRobinhood Q3 Highlights: Trump Accounts, Prediction Markets Help Offset Crypto Weakness17d ago
Trump accounts and prediction markets show HOOD can keep lifting ARPU beyond trading commissions, partially offsetting the revenue drag from weaker crypto activity.
Also named: SCHW · IBKR · COIN · MARA · DKNG · RSI
As the reporting company, a print showing stronger trading volume, net interest income or Gold subscriptions would directly raise the market’s valuation of Robinhood’s revenue growth and operating leverage.
Also named: SCHW · IBKR · COIN · MSTR · SQ · PYPL
- #6Impact4.8%FavorableDirectRobinhood CEO reveals company's BIG plans for prediction markets and super app16d ago
If the new business expands from a trading tool into an event-contract platform, it can raise stickiness and diversify revenue without materially increasing customer-acquisition cost.
Also named: ETOR · SCHW · SQ · PYPL · CME · NDAQ
- #7Impact5.2%FavorableDirectRobinhood Is Quietly Building 13 Businesses at Once. Here's Why It Matters.21d ago
Robinhood is turning a single retail trading app into a multi-product financial platform, which broadens revenue streams and clarifies the path to higher ARPU.
Also named: IBKR · SCHW · SOFI · PYPL · COIN
- #8Impact3.5%FavorableDirectRobinhood Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Cost Discipline and Expansion9d ago
The call’s emphasis on cost discipline and expansion suggests that growth in trading, subscriptions, and cash management can convert more efficiently into earnings, supporting a valuation re-rating.
Also named: IBKR · SCHW · PYPL · SOFI · SQ
- #9Impact4.5%FavorableDirectRobinhood stock rises as analysts see growth beyond its brokerage business23d ago
HOOD's recent revenue and earnings growth shows it is no longer reliant solely on brokerage trading revenue; if investors embrace the broader business expansion narrative, subscriptions, net interest income and wealth management deserve a higher valuation weight.
Also named: SCHW · IBKR · ETFC · SOFI · UPST · COIN
Expanding IPO Access adds a new revenue vertical beyond core brokerage and reinforces platform differentiation
Also named: COIN · SOFI · IBKR · GS · MS · NDAQ
The rest, archived by time · 8
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $4.5B · latest quarter up 11.8% YoY · reported FY net income of $1.9B · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$4.5B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+11.8%
FY net income
$1.9B
Diluted EPS
$2.12
Short-sale volume share
46.1%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 55.7% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 50/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$0.60 vs $0.56+7.14%
- Jun 2026$0.62 vs $0.44+40.91%
- Mar 2026$0.38 vs $0.40-5%
- Dec 2025$0.66 vs $0.63+4.76%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 12% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 3 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $100.00–$170.00 · Consensus $133.14
Buy / hold / sell 19 / 3 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T17:26:41.874Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.60 · $0.51–$0.72 · 8 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 3
Estimate dispersion 35.0%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T17:26:41.774Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $82.30
MA10 $83.18
MA20 $89.47
MA60 $104.44
Last completed-session close $81.35 (-3.82%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.66×
Prior 20-session range $75.51–$104.40 · MA20 change over five sessions -6.40% · CMF20 -0.05
- Long upper wick; rally rejected
Confirmation to watch: a close above $104.40 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $75.51 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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