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SHOPShopify

$134.21-7.50%Real quote · delayedE-commerce SaaS

🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data

Annual revenue $11.6B · latest quarter up 33.7% YoY · profitable (FY net income $1.2B) · short activity above its recent average — bears adding.

FY revenue

$11.6B

2025-12

Latest Q YoY

+33.7%

Gross margin

48.1%

FY net income

$1.2B

Diluted EPS

$0.95

Short volume

51.1%

20d avg 43.8% · shorts building

🐋 5%+ ownership filings (last 180d)

The parties below hold over 5% of this company and disclosed it to the SEC (mandatory in US markets). "Activist" filers state an intent to influence the company; "Passive" are pure investment positions.

2026-07-30passive (13G)BlackRock, Inc.

🎯 Market expectations

Expectation reliability High · 72/100

Nasdaq analyst consensus · the pre-news baseline

Next quarter (Sep 2026) consensus$0.33Estimate range $0.28 ~ $0.38 · 13 analysts

History: actual vs consensusavg +10.5%

Jun 2026$0.32 vs $0.28+14.29%
Mar 2026$0.27 vs $0.22+22.73%
Dec 2025$0.38 vs $0.41-7.32%
Sep 2025$0.27 vs $0.24+12.5%

The takeaway

This company habitually beats by +10.5% — the next report has to clear that bar to count as good news.

Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice

🧭 -7.5% today with no fresh news · why?

📊 Market-0.5%S&P -0.4% × beta 1.3
💸 Money flowMFI 47 · net outflow · volume 1.3× average
🧩 PeersAMZN -0.5%WIX -5.1%GDDY -7.7%PYPL -3.2%ZM -4.7%5 peers moved the same way today, averaging -4.2% — this is a sector move, not a single-stock event.
🕰️ Old news, still digesting▲ Whatnot Raises Record $545 Million in Biggest Listructural impact active, ~28 days left

Educational decomposition · not investment advice

What's moving this stock lately

2 direct · 2 2nd-order · 0 thematic

Ranked by impact strength · strength = estimated move × freshness decay (shorter-lived effects decay faster)

#1▲0.3%DirectAffirm and Shopify Take Shop Pay Installments to Australia12d ago
Expanding Shop Pay Installments to a new region strengthens merchant payment offerings, though the contribution is small relative to Shopify's $11.6B annual revenue
Impact chain →
Also named: AFRM · ZIP.AX · XYZ · SEZL · PYPL
#2▲0.24%DirectInside Affirm's Stock Rally: Strong Credit Performance and Shopify Expansion Drive Big Gains11d ago
As a key Affirm distribution channel, deeper integration modestly aids GMV conversion but is immaterial to its multibillion-dollar revenue base.
Impact chain →
Also named: AFRM · SEZL · XYZ · PYPL
#3▼0.24%2nd-orderYouTube now lets creators tag Amazon products and earn commissions from purchases12d ago
Intensified competition in creator commerce tools as some creators may favor built-in Amazon tagging over standalone Shopify storefronts
Impact chain →
Also named: AMZN · GOOGL · GOOG · META · PINS
#4▲0.15%2nd-orderIs Affirm's Australia Comeback a Meaningful Growth Catalyst?11d ago
Shopify merchants integrating Affirm's Australian service could see marginal conversion gains, though the effect is minor and hard to quantify near-term.
Impact chain →
Also named: AFRM · ZIP.AX · XYZ · PYPL

🕰️ Price × news · engine report card

Drag to pan, scroll to zoom · real daily bars and volume

The 23 engine calls on this chart (hit / miss / pending) are Pro — price and volume only for now▂ volume

📜 Call history (newest first

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