Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $57.57 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $60.63 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T17:56:24.000Z
VIX 19.682026-11-13T17:56:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.402026-11-13T18:01:25.000Z
Market and sector reference
PYPL +1.65% · SPY -0.78% · Peer average +0.40% (AFRM, AXP, FISV, HOOD, MA, V)
2026-11-13T18:12:44.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
3 direct · 9 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact2.5%FavorableDirectPayPal Just Raised Its Profit Forecast, and the Stock Barely Moved. Here's Why17d ago
The company directly raised its profit outlook, signaling better expense control and transaction profitability than previously expected, but the incremental news is modest given its recent pattern of beats and guidance discipline.
Also named: SQ · V · AFRM · SOFI
- #2Impact3.9%Favorable2nd-orderBlock Surges 16% on Earnings Beat and Raised Outlook; SoFi and PayPal Advance 4%9d ago
As a large digital wallet and payments platform, PYPL benefits from a better sector tone and peer-led multiple expansion; given its large revenue base, the move is more about valuation than near-term fundamentals.
Also named: SQ · TOST · SOFI · UPST · AFRM
- #3Impact1.6%AdverseDirect5 Financial Transaction Stocks to Watch Amid Cost and Inflation Pressure14d ago
PayPal has resilient volumes, but its consumer and merchant marketing, fraud and servicing costs are relatively high, which makes inflation a headwind on the expense side.
Also named: MA · V · GPN · WEX · SQ
As low-cost cross-border transfer platforms scale, traditional payment networks risk further erosion of their intermediary role in certain international transfer and FX use cases.
Also named: WSE · NU · V
- #5Impact1.2%Adverse2nd-orderMeta launches AI agent that can access other apps to send emails, make payments66d ago
Widespread adoption of Meta's agent-initiated payments could bypass third-party checkout gateways like PayPal, undermining its intermediary value proposition.
Also named: META · GOOGL · MSFT · SQ · V
- #6Impact0.8%Favorable2nd-orderAmazon's fight with Meta: Who owns the customer relationship when an agent does the buying?52d ago
Agentic commerce raises the value of a third-party payment authorization layer, positioning PayPal as a cross-platform agent checkout rail—still conceptual
Also named: AMZN · META · SHOP · V
- #7Impact1.2%Adverse2nd-orderCircle Sinks 12%, Coinbase and Strategy Tumble 10% as Bitcoin Slide Hits Crypto Stocks8d ago
PayPal’s crypto features are ancillary; softer on-chain and retail crypto activity can slightly slow adoption of those products.
Also named: COIN · HOOD · MSTR · MARA · RIOT · CRCL
Integrating Meta's Muse enhances PayPal Ads' creative generation capability, aiding monetization of its nascent ad business, though ad revenue remains a small share of total and the stock has already priced in part of the move
Also named: SQ · ADYEN.AS · META · CRTO · TTD
- #9Impact0.9%Favorable2nd-orderRobinhood Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Cost Discipline and Expansion9d ago
If investors rotate toward asset-light, platform-style fintech models, PayPal can see some valuation sentiment spillover.
Also named: HOOD · IBKR · SCHW · SOFI · SQ
If travel spending proves more resilient, PayPal’s transaction activity expectations in travel-related payments improve modestly.
Also named: BKNG · EXPE · TRIP · MAR · HLT · H
The rest, archived by time · 2
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $33.2B · latest quarter up 2% YoY · reported FY net income of $5.2B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$33.2B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+2%
FY net income
$5.2B
Diluted EPS
$5.46
Short-sale volume share
31.2%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 36.5% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-07-29SCHEDULE 13G/ABlackRock, Inc.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 83/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$1.45 vs $1.31+10.69%
- Jun 2026$1.38 vs $1.28+7.81%
- Mar 2026$1.34 vs $1.27+5.51%
- Dec 2025$1.23 vs $1.29-4.65%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 4.8% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 9 upward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $45.00–$70.00 · Consensus $57.80
Buy / hold / sell 3 / 22 / 4
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:16:14.782Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.43 · $1.42–$1.45 · 11 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 9 / 0
Estimate dispersion 2.1%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:16:13.694Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $59.17
MA10 $58.90
MA20 $57.78
MA60 $56.04
Last completed-session close $58.30 (-1.98%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.54×
Prior 20-session range $54.34–$60.87 · MA20 change over five sessions +1.30% · CMF20 0.13
- Low-volume pullback within an improving structure
- Accumulation-like price/volume pattern (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $60.87 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $54.34 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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