Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $312.70 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $341.80 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.14%2026-11-13T18:40:14.000Z
VIX 19.472026-11-13T18:40:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.382026-11-13T18:45:17.000Z
Market and sector reference
PANW -0.21% · SPY -0.49% · Peer average -1.11% (CRWD, FTNT, NET, OKTA, ZS)
2026-11-13T18:56:37.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
2 direct · 12 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
To reduce AI-driven attack risk, enterprises often broaden platform security purchases, lifting demand for firewalls, SASE and security operations products.
Also named: AMZN · GOOG · GOOGL · CRWD · ZS · NVDA
- #2Impact3.8%FavorableDirectMicrosoft says AI agents are like insider threats as ‘frontier models can't be trusted'25d ago
Enterprises will need stronger zero-trust, access-control and AI data-protection layers to constrain agent permissions, supporting its platform security budget share.
Also named: MSFT · AMZN · GOOGL · CRWD · ZS · NOW
- #3Impact2.8%Favorable2nd-orderOracle Plans to Expand Multicloud AI Database Services to US Government and Public Sector Workloads17d ago
Oracle’s government multicloud database push typically raises spending on access control, data auditing, and zero-trust connectivity.
Also named: ORCL · MSFT · AMZN · ACN · BAH · SAIC
- #4Impact2.5%Favorable2nd-orderCoinbase Q3: The Cybersecurity Scare May Be Hiding An Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)14d ago
Major platform security incidents often accelerate demand for zero-trust, cloud security, and SOC consolidation, supporting cross-sell for integrated security vendors.
Also named: COIN · CME · HOOD · CRWD · OKTA · BTC
More spending on regional segmentation and compliance audits typically lifts security budgets.
Also named: 300308.SZ · 002463.SZ · NVDA · 0981.HK · ASML · AMAT
- #6Impact2.2%Favorable2nd-orderNVIDIA Launches OpenShell Reference Architecture for Safe AI Agents23d ago
Enterprise agent deployments usually come with stronger network, cloud and identity security spend, and Palo Alto can capture cross-sell opportunities across those layers.
Also named: NVDA · AMD · INTC · SMCI · DELL · HPE
Tighter privacy and platform rules typically raise spending on security audits, identity management and data protection.
Also named: AAPL · GOOG · GOOGL · MSFT · META · PINS
Rising complexity of AI-driven attacks could boost adoption of its integrated security platform
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · MSFT · S · CRWD · FTNT
- #9Impact1.4%Favorable2nd-orderGoogle faces claims student used AI chat on US school laptop to plan suicide attempt8d ago
Education institutions may increase spending on web filtering, endpoint protection, and audit capabilities to reduce risky AI usage on school devices.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · MSFT · META · COHR · CRWD
- #10Impact1.3%Favorable2nd-orderAlphabet's Golden Dome Talks Could Open a New Market, But How Much Is at Stake?10d ago
If the program leans into multi-cloud and zero-trust architectures, Palo Alto’s platform security stack is more likely to be included in procurement lists.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · MSFT · AMZN · ORCL · PLTR
The rest, archived by time · 4
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $11.5B · latest quarter up 31.1% YoY · reported FY net income of $307M · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$11.5B
2026-07
Latest Q YoY
+31.1%
Gross margin
70.4%
FY net income
$307M
Diluted EPS
$0.41
Short-sale volume share
26.3%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 45.9% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 87/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Jul 2026$0.53 vs $0.51+3.92%
- Apr 2026$0.32 vs $0.43-25.58%
- Jan 2026$0.68 vs $0.49+38.78%
- Oct 2025$0.53 vs $0.50+6%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 5.8% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $300.00–$525.00 · Consensus $411.76
Buy / hold / sell 32 / 8 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:58:37.694Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $0.52 · $0.49–$0.59 · 15 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 0
Estimate dispersion 19.2%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:58:36.473Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $325.64
MA10 $335.87
MA20 $351.89
MA60 $365.83
Last completed-session close $322.66 (-3.53%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.97×
Prior 20-session range $312.12–$406.88 · MA20 change over five sessions -4.57% · CMF20 -0.24
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $406.88 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $312.12 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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