Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $97.00 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $104.52 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.14%2026-11-13T16:55:34.000Z
VIX 20.292026-11-13T16:55:31.000Z
Dollar index 103.362026-11-13T17:00:34.000Z
Market and sector reference
NOW +0.36% · SPY -0.77% · Peer average +1.20% (ADBE, ADSK, APP, CRM, DDOG, HUBS)
2026-11-13T17:05:39.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
16 direct · 16 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact8.5%FavorableDirectServiceNow: The Shift From Seats To 'Assists' Uncaps Exponential Growth24d ago
The company is shifting its monetization story from seat expansion to charging for AI assists, implying deeper monetization per customer and potentially extending the durability of its recent 24% revenue growth.
Also named: CRM · MSFT · ORCL · ACN · IBM · INFY
- #2Impact4.5%AdverseDirectServiceNow's Moment of Truth: Can Agentic AI Growth Justify a Premium 80x Earnings Multiple on Oct. 28?20d ago
With revenue already at a $10B+ scale and recent quarterly growth still at 24%, the stock’s 80x earnings valuation already prices in a great deal of AI-driven acceleration and margin expansion; if guidance or order evidence is not strong enough, the multiple is highly vulnerable.
Also named: CRM · SNPS · ACN · CTSH
- #3Impact4.2%FavorableDirectServiceNow Q3 Earnings Loom: Hold or Fold NOW Stock Ahead of Results?18d ago
If AI features continue to drive higher deal size and stronger renewals, they directly improve ServiceNow's long-term ARPU and margin expectations.
Also named: CRM · ANET · ACN · IBM · DXC · MSFT
- #4Impact3.5%FavorableDirectServiceNow (NOW) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say16d ago
Sustained subscription growth, renewal strength and operating leverage would directly support its premium revenue multiple and quality-growth valuation.
Also named: CRM · SNOW · ORCL · ACN · CTSH · MSFT
- #5Impact3%FavorableDirectLTM and ServiceNow expand partnership to scale agentic AI and accelerate joint go-to-market9d ago
ServiceNow is directly named, and the joint go-to-market effort should improve AI module penetration, raise enterprise sales efficiency, and add to its high-margin subscription revenue base.
Also named: CRM · MDB · ACN · CTSH
- #6Impact4.5%FavorableDirectServiceNow Is Betting Big on AI. Investors Need to Watch These Growth Drivers28d ago
The piece directly reinforces expectations that AI products will drive larger enterprise deals, broader platform penetration and resilient renewals; however, as a large-cap mature software name, the incremental upside is more about valuation than an immediate revenue step-up.
Also named: CRM · MDB · ACN · EPAM · GLOB · SNOW
- #7Impact7.5%AdverseDirectServiceNow Has Become The Canary In The Coal Mine For Agentic-AI Driven Software Implosion11d ago
As the article’s focal point, investors may worry that agentic automation reduces net new seat growth, expansion and premium renewal momentum for the workflow platform.
Also named: CRM · WDAY · SNOW · ACN · CTSH · DBX
- #8Impact2.3%Favorable2nd-orderMicrosoft and Amazon combine for a $400 billion market-cap boost — and these factors show why9d ago
IT automation and workflow software benefits from higher enterprise IT spend amid cloud migration and AI adoption.
Also named: MSFT · AMZN · ORCL · NVDA · AMD · AVGO
- #9Impact3%FavorableDirectHyperscalers Microsoft, Amazon Line Up With Earnings, Along With ServiceNow, Intel21d ago
If bookings and net new subscriptions remain strong, it shows large enterprises are still paying for workflow digitization and AI automation.
Also named: MSFT · AMZN · CRM · INTC · NVDA · AMD
- #10Impact3%FavorableDirectMicrosoft says AI agents are like insider threats as ‘frontier models can't be trusted'25d ago
As enterprises bring AI agents into ticketing, permissions and approval workflows, ServiceNow is well placed to become a control layer.
Also named: MSFT · AMZN · GOOGL · PANW · CRWD · ZS
The rest, archived by time · 22
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $13.3B · latest quarter up 20.5% YoY · reported FY net income of $1.7B · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$13.3B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+20.5%
Gross margin
77.5%
FY net income
$1.7B
Diluted EPS
$1.69
Short-sale volume share
14.8%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 43.9% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 65/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$0.51 vs $0.56-8.93%
- Jun 2026$0.31 vs $0.40-22.5%
- Mar 2026$0.49 vs $0.55-10.91%
- Dec 2025$0.52 vs $0.48+8.33%
The takeaway
EPS fell short of the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 8.5% in the quarters shown. This alone does not tell us whether analysts lowered later estimates. Analysts made 11 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $110.00–$266.00 · Consensus $163.50
Buy / hold / sell 28 / 1 / 1
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T17:13:18.153Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.63 · $0.54–$0.75 · 14 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 11
Estimate dispersion 33.3%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T17:13:18.098Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $101.55
MA10 $103.92
MA20 $125.90
MA60 $133.30
Last completed-session close $100.66 (-2.04%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.53×
Prior 20-session range $97.00–$159.50 · MA20 change over five sessions -7.38% · CMF20 -0.21
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $159.50 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $97.00 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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