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NDAQNasdaq

$109.01+0.33%Delayed market dataExchangesAsset mgmt, brokers & exchanges · 12 peers →

Key levels and trade conditions

Delayed quotes · Technical conditions

$108.91 USD2026-11-13 17:17 UTC

Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.

Hold and monitor; no addition yet

Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.

Defense$105.00

Breakout$110.43

Toward breakout ↗

To defense -3.6%To breakout +1.4%

Medium-term reference (not the near-term trigger)Defense $100.97 · Breakout $111.45

When does defense take priority?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close below $105.00 → consider reducing

When to consider adding?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close above $110.43 → consider a staged addition

Completed session: 2026-11-12 · Completed-session volume ratio 0.75× · MA20 $104.33

Range basis session: 2026-11-12 · Yahoo Finance

Level methodology and recent changes

Near term: trigger levels use the five sessions preceding the latest completed session, never that session’s own high/low. Confirmation requires a close beyond the boundary and 1.5× prior-20-session average volume. The crossed level becomes the new reference; any next boundary comes from observed prior-20-session highs/lows. The five-session range rolls after the next completed session, not with intraday quotes.

Current base window starts: 2026-11-06

2026-10-22 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $92.12–$96.56 → $96.56–— · Close $103.30 / 2.41×
2026-09-18 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $87.94–$92.66 → $92.66–$94.46 · Close $93.54 / 2.19×
2026-09-02 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $96.92–$100.97 → $95.28–$96.92 · Close $95.72 / 1.80×
2026-07-16 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $83.24–$91.69 → $91.69–— · Close $94.25 / 1.56×
2026-06-18 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $82.34–$92.75 → —–$82.34 · Close $82.24 / 2.37×

Tilt shows price location, not a probability. Combine technical signals with company research and your risk tolerance. No trades are executed.

01Newstock overall assessment

The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.

Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.

02What happened recently

Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.

US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T17:00:54.000Z

VIX 20.322026-11-13T17:00:46.000Z

Dollar index 103.352026-11-13T17:05:54.000Z

Market and sector reference

NDAQ +0.20% · SPY -0.84% · Peer average +0.48% (APO, BLK, BX, CME, GS, ICE)

2026-11-13T16:56:37.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.

Recent news related to this stock

1 direct · 2 2nd-order · 0 thematic

Ranked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.

#1Impact1.5%FavorableDirectCoinbase Says Its Tokenized Stocks Set the Standard — But Nasdaq Is Backing a Rival60d ago
Already growing revenue 20.5% YoY, Nasdaq's early positioning in tokenized-securities infrastructure opens a new licensing and settlement revenue channel
Impact chain →
Also named: COIN · P-KRAK · HOOD · ICE · CBOE
#2Impact1.3%Favorable2nd-orderStrategy (MSTR), Coinbase as Bitcoin hits $80k again, SEC eases tokenized trading56d ago
As an exchange operator, the regulatory easing creates a long-term incremental business opportunity for Nasdaq to launch tokenized securities trading and settlement services.
Impact chain →
Also named: COIN · HOOD · MSTR · MARA · RIOT · BLK
#3Impact0.7%Adverse2nd-orderTexas Stock Exchange Is Close to Winning Its First Major Listing From New York65d ago
A rising new exchange intensifies competition for listings broadly, exposing Nasdaq to similar long-term client attrition risk
Impact chain →
Also named: ICE · CBOE · ET · KMI · OXY

03Is the company worth considering?

Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.

🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data

Annual revenue $8.3B · latest quarter up 20.9% YoY · reported FY net income of $1.8B · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.

FY revenue

$8.3B

2025-12

Latest Q YoY

+20.9%

Gross margin

63.5%

FY net income

$1.8B

Diluted EPS

$3.12

Short-sale volume share

25.9%

2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 41.5% · below recent average

Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.

🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)

Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.

2026-10-27SCHEDULE 13G/ABlackRock, Inc.
2026-08-13SCHEDULE 13G/AWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
2026-08-12SCHEDULE 13G/AMASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/

Historical results versus analyst expectations

🎯 Market expectations

Estimate context score High · 77/100

Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data

Next quarter (Dec 2026) consensus$1.08Estimate range $1.01 ~ $1.10 · 9 analystsRevisions (4w):↑2↓3

History: actual vs consensusavg +5%

Sep 2026$1.04 vs $1.02+1.96%
Jun 2026$1.07 vs $0.98+9.18%
Mar 2026$0.96 vs $0.93+3.23%
Dec 2025$0.96 vs $0.91+5.49%

The takeaway

EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 5% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 3 downward revisions over the past four weeks.

Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice

Analyst consensus and disagreement

Target-price summary $106.97–$135.00 · Consensus $116.53

Buy / hold / sell 14 / 2 / 0

Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T17:17:05.755Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.

Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.08 · $1.01–$1.10 · 9 analysts

Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 3

Estimate dispersion 8.3%

Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T17:17:05.616Z

04Is now a good time?

Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.

Technical structure · Uptrend structure

MA5 $108.79

MA10 $108.23

MA20 $104.33

MA60 $97.65

Last completed-session close $108.65 (-0.94%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.75×

Prior 20-session range $92.12–$111.45 · MA20 change over five sessions +3.84% · CMF20 0.12

Low-volume pullback within an improving structure

Confirmation to watch: a close above $111.45 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $92.12 weakens the setup.

Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12

Price and news

Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.

Related news

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05What would change our assessment?

Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.

Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.

Additional risk evidence and model detail

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Market View

Crowding

Risk temperature

Tail risk

Triggers

Price and volume

Insider signals

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