🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $3.0B · latest quarter up 90.1% YoY · not yet profitable (FY net loss $6.9B) · short activity above its recent average — bears adding.
FY revenue
$3.0B
2026-06
Latest Q YoY
+90.1%
Gross margin
41.7%
FY net loss
$6.9B
Diluted EPS
$-92.96
Short volume
49.3%
20d avg 42% · shorts building
🐋 5%+ ownership filings (last 180d)
The parties below hold over 5% of this company and disclosed it to the SEC (mandatory in US markets). "Activist" filers state an intent to influence the company; "Passive" are pure investment positions.
- 2026-07-08passive (13G)FMR LLC
- 2026-05-14passive (13G)Capital World Investors
- 2026-04-30passive (13G)VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
- 2026-04-29passive (13G)VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
- 2026-04-24passive (13G)BlackRock, Inc.
🎯 Market expectations
Expectation reliability High · 72/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · the pre-news baseline
- Jun 2026$2.64 vs $2.62+0.76%
- Mar 2026$1.88 vs $1.81+3.87%
- Dec 2025$1.24 vs $0.97+27.84%
- Sep 2025$0.60 vs $0.59+1.69%
The takeaway
This company habitually beats by +8.5% — the next report has to clear that bar to count as good news. Analysts raised estimates 3× in 4 weeks — the bar is rising too.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
What's moving this stock lately
4 direct · 5 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by impact strength · strength = estimated move × freshness decay (shorter-lived effects decay faster)
The article reiterates that Lumentum's 2027 product cycle (higher-speed transceivers) will drive a step-change in earnings, but as an opinion piece it offers no new hard data beyond the already-known +90% YoY revenue trend that markets have partly priced in
Also named: COHR · FN · AAOI · CIEN · ANET
90% YoY revenue growth signals strong AI transceiver and EML laser chip orders, but persistent net losses and lack of explicit beat detail cap the upside
Also named: COHR · AAOI · NVDA · ANET
As the incumbent leader used as the benchmark, Lumentum shares in the broader industry tailwind from expanding AI optics demand.
Also named: AAOI · COHR · CIEN
- #4Force0.76%bearish2nd-orderCiena Corporation Tumbles 10% as In-Line Guidance Overshadows Earnings Beat, Arista Edges Higher10d ago
As a supplier of optical components and lasers into the ecosystem, Ciena's tepid outlook tempers expectations for the demand ramp in optical devices.
Also named: CIEN · COHR · FN · ANET · CSCO
Optical component peer, sentiment read-through from stronger AI interconnect demand
Also named: AAOI · FN · COHR
- #6Force0.71%bullish2nd-orderCoherent, Sandisk, Lululemon, Zscaler, and More Stocks That Explain Today's Market9d ago
As a fellow AI optical-module supplier, Coherent's strength lifts sentiment across the optical communications group
Also named: SNDK · MU · WDC · COHR · LULU · GPS
- #7Force0.45%bullishDirect3 AI Stocks Up 500% or More in the Past Year That Could Have More Room to Run10d ago
Lumentum has beaten estimates by an average of 8.5% over the past four quarters; despite a large GAAP net loss (likely non-cash impairments/stock comp), the market is focused on AI optics revenue growth, and this piece is sentiment-driven recap
Also named: MU · SNDK · WDC · COHR · CIEN
- #8Force0.33%bullish2nd-orderCoherent (COHR) Down 10.4% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?2d ago
As a direct competitor in optical modules/photonics, heightened attention on Coherent may lift peer valuations slightly, though there is no substantive fundamental driver
Also named: COHR
- #9Force0.3%bullish2nd-orderCOHR 8-K — Departure or Election of Directors or Officers · Other Events13d ago
As COHR's direct competitor in optical modules and lasers, any customer hesitancy from leadership uncertainty could shift some share and investor attention toward Lumentum
Also named: COHR · AAOI
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📜 Call history (newest first
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