Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $27.70 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $29.78 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.14%2026-11-13T18:28:34.000Z
VIX 19.542026-11-13T18:28:31.000Z
Dollar index 103.362026-11-13T18:33:28.000Z
Market and sector reference
HPQ +1.32%
2026-11-13T18:13:07.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 19 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact3%Adverse2nd-orderIntel Plunges 29% on Weak Outlook as Tech Selloff Deepens | Closing Bell14d ago
HP’s PC business is highly sensitive to CPU demand and channel inventory cycles, and Intel’s cautious demand commentary weighs on shipment expectations.
Also named: INTC · AMD · NVDA · QCOM · MSFT · AMZN
If end-demand recovery remains uneven, HP will likely be more conservative on Intel-platform shipments and inventory, reducing near-term order elasticity.
Also named: AMAT · LRCX · KLAC · TSM · SMIC · AMD
- #3Impact2.5%Adverse2nd-orderStock Market Today, Oct. 30: Intel Plunges Nearly 29% as Weak Outlook Rattles Wall Street14d ago
If the Windows PC replacement cycle is pushed out, HP’s shipments and channel inventory digestion slow down.
Also named: INTC · AMD · QCOM · MU · TSM · ASML
If PC demand recovery is slower, HP’s shipment growth and channel inventory normalization will be delayed.
Also named: INTC · AMD · NVDA · AVGO · TSM · ASML
- #5Impact2%Adverse2nd-orderApple Lost About $140 Billion After Hours as Its New CEO Calls Memory Prices “Unprecedented”10d ago
PC and print hardware also rely on DRAM/NAND, and extended memory inflation is harder for low-margin OEMs to absorb.
Also named: MU · 005930.KS · 000660.KS · 2317.TW · AAPL · DELL
- #6Impact1.5%Adverse2nd-orderGoogle opens pre-orders for $899 Googlebook laptops built around Gemini AI53d ago
As a leading Chromebook and Windows laptop OEM, HP faces direct share erosion in the mid-to-low-end from Google's own hardware.
Also named: GOOGL · MSFT · AAPL · DELL · QCOM · INTC
- #7Impact1.5%Adverse2nd-orderGoogle's $899 Googlebook is a bet that you'll buy a new laptop for Gemini53d ago
HP's share in mid-range consumer laptops faces direct encroachment from Google's new entrant
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · DELL · 0992.HK · AAPL · QCOM
- #8Impact1.4%Adverse2nd-orderSuper Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript10d ago
HPE’s share in servers and enterprise hardware can be relatively pressured by SMCI’s high-growth narrative.
Also named: SMCI · NVDA · AMD · DELL · ANET · AVGO
Higher memory costs erode HP's PC hardware profit margins.
Also named: MU · 000660.KS · 005930.KS · WDC · DELL · AAPL
If weaker Intel sentiment leads to lower expectations for PC platform demand, valuations in the consumer and commercial PC chain can come under pressure as well.
Also named: INTC · AMD · NVDA · AMAT · LRCX · KLAC
The rest, archived by time · 9
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $55.3B · latest quarter up 12.5% YoY · reported FY net income of $2.5B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$55.3B
2025-10
Latest Q YoY
+12.5%
Gross margin
20.6%
FY net income
$2.5B
Diluted EPS
$2.67
Short-sale volume share
58.4%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 64.2% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 71/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Jul 2026$0.83 vs $0.75+10.67%
- Apr 2026$0.86 vs $0.72+19.44%
- Jan 2026$0.81 vs $0.77+5.19%
- Oct 2025$0.93 vs $0.91+2.2%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 9.4% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $19.00–$34.00 · Consensus $26.77
Buy / hold / sell 1 / 7 / 5
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:45:15.094Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $0.75 · $0.74–$0.77 · 5 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 0
Estimate dispersion 4.0%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:45:14.791Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $28.59
MA10 $28.78
MA20 $30.50
MA60 $31.24
Last completed-session close $28.88 (-0.28%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.67×
Prior 20-session range $26.96–$34.27 · MA20 change over five sessions -1.46% · CMF20 -0.08
Confirmation to watch: a close above $34.27 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $26.96 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
See every affected stock, second-order impact and risk factor. Try Pro free for 7 days — no credit card required.
Start my free trial