Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $105.00 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $115.29 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T17:50:44.000Z
VIX 19.722026-11-13T17:50:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.412026-11-13T17:56:25.000Z
Market and sector reference
EL +1.63% · SPY -0.77% · Peer average +1.91% (CL, CLX, GIS, HSY, KDP, KHC)
2026-11-13T17:58:29.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
2 direct · 0 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
With roughly $15B in revenue and high gross margins but volatile earnings, Estée Lauder’s print is a direct signal on prestige-beauty demand, inventory normalization and China/travel-retail recovery.
Also named: AAPL · 005930.KS · NKE · LSCC · NXPI · MAR
- #2Impact2.5%FavorableDirectMeta plans to launch camera-free smart glasses for fall, The Information reports59d ago
As Meta's Ray-Ban frame and optics partner, a new model directly lifts its lens and frame volumes.
Also named: META · QCOM · SYNA
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $15.0B · latest quarter up 6.7% YoY · reported FY net loss of $462M · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$15.0B
2026-06
Latest Q YoY
+6.7%
Gross margin
75.5%
FY net loss
$462M
Diluted EPS
$0.5
Short-sale volume share
35.7%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 43.8% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-10-30SCHEDULE 13G/AVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
- 2026-09-18SCHEDULE 13D/ATRUST UNDER ARTICLE 2 OF THE ZINTERHOFER 2008 DESCENDANTS TRUST AGREEMENT
- 2026-08-12SCHEDULE 13GMANAGED ACCOUNT ADVISORS LLC
- 2026-08-06SCHEDULE 13G/AFMR LLC
- 2026-07-28SCHEDULE 13G/ABlackRock, Inc.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 76/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$0.72 vs $0.52+38.46%
- Jun 2026$0.39 vs $0.32+21.87%
- Mar 2026$0.91 vs $0.66+37.88%
- Dec 2025$0.89 vs $0.84+5.95%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 26% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 4 upward revisions over the past four weeks. Analysts made 6 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $92.00–$132.00 · Consensus $118.36
Buy / hold / sell 10 / 10 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:10:43.226Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.21 · $1.08–$1.27 · 12 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 4 / 6
Estimate dispersion 15.7%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:10:43.082Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $111.90
MA10 $109.86
MA20 $108.52
MA60 $101.73
Last completed-session close $110.51 (-1.62%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.57×
Prior 20-session range $102.00–$115.29 · MA20 change over five sessions +2.50% · CMF20 0.06
- Low-volume pullback within an improving structure
Confirmation to watch: a close above $115.29 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $102.00 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
See every affected stock, second-order impact and risk factor. Try Pro free for 7 days — no credit card required.
Start my free trial