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CRCLCircle Internet Group

$61.92-2.98%Delayed market dataStablecoins and on-chain settlement

Key levels and trade conditions

Delayed quotes · Technical conditions

$62.63 USD2026-11-13 18:15 UTC

Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.

Below defense; watch reduction conditions

Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.

Defense$62.77

Breakout$69.82

Toward defense ↙

To defense +0.2%To breakout +11.5%

Medium-term reference (not the near-term trigger)Defense $64.81 · Breakout $92.17

When does defense take priority?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close below $62.77 → consider reducing

When to consider adding?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close above $69.82 → consider a staged addition

Completed session: 2026-11-12 · Completed-session volume ratio 0.71× · MA20 $76.58

Range basis session: 2026-11-12 · Yahoo Finance

Level methodology and recent changes

Near term: trigger levels use the five sessions preceding the latest completed session, never that session’s own high/low. Confirmation requires a close beyond the boundary and 1.5× prior-20-session average volume. The crossed level becomes the new reference; any next boundary comes from observed prior-20-session highs/lows. The five-session range rolls after the next completed session, not with intraday quotes.

Current base window starts: 2026-11-06

2026-11-05 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $71.00–$81.20 → —–$71.00 · Close $69.48 / 1.72×
2026-10-30 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $78.32–$88.33 → —–$78.32 · Close $72.54 / 1.65×
2026-09-16 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $84.80–$98.90 → $79.50–$84.80 · Close $80.45 / 1.60×
2026-09-03 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $85.87–$96.40 → $96.40–— · Close $103.23 / 1.72×
2026-08-21 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $70.73–$85.28 → $85.28–— · Close $87.98 / 2.15×

Tilt shows price location, not a probability. Combine technical signals with company research and your risk tolerance. No trades are executed.

01Newstock overall assessment

The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.

Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.

02What happened recently

Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.

US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T17:56:24.000Z

VIX 19.682026-11-13T17:56:16.000Z

Dollar index 103.402026-11-13T18:01:25.000Z

Market and sector reference

CRCL -1.97% · SPY -0.78%

2026-11-13T17:45:46.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.

Recent news related to this stock

4 direct · 1 2nd-order · 0 thematic

Ranked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.

#1Impact7%FavorableDirectBullish Bitcoin Signs Underneath Selloff; OCC Stablecoin Framework to Move COIN, CRCL22d ago
Circle’s core economics come from USDC reserve income and ecosystem distribution, so a more explicit banking framework can support USDC circulation and partnership expansion.
Impact chain →
Also named: COIN · PYPL · V · MA · SQ · BTC
#2Impact7%AdverseDirectCircle Sinks 12%, Coinbase and Strategy Tumble 10% as Bitcoin Slide Hits Crypto Stocks8d ago
Circle’s USDC franchise is more infrastructure-like, but a broad crypto pullback reduces on-chain settlement activity and partner expansion pace; the stock’s sharp move in the headline shows the market rapidly prices that exposure.
Impact chain →
Also named: COIN · HOOD · MSTR · MARA · RIOT · PYPL
#3Impact2.8%FavorableDirectCoinbase: Hold Until Deribit, Prediction Markets And USDC Turn Into Profit21d ago
USDC is Circle’s core product; broader trading and payments adoption should improve circulation and reserve-income expectations.
Impact chain →
Also named: COIN · CME · MSTR · PYPL · CROX · DKNG
#4Impact1.8%Favorable2nd-orderCoinbase Is Pushing to Bring Stablecoins to 1,000 Community Banks. Here's Why Everyone Is Talking About Stablecoins Right Now.63d ago
As USDC issuer, a wider Coinbase distribution network directly benefits Circle's reserve asset base and resulting interest income
Impact chain →
Also named: COIN · WU · MA · FI · JKHY
#5Impact1.8%FavorableDirectCrypto ETFs Already Go Far Beyond Bitcoin. The SEC Wants to Know If Its Rules Have Kept Up14d ago
USDC is one of the core dollar stablecoins used in crypto trading and institutional settlement; more active ETF-related flows and on-chain clearing should strengthen Circle’s network effects.
Impact chain →
Also named: BLK · GLXY · CME · COIN

03Is the company worth considering?

Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.

🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data

Annual revenue $110M · latest quarter up 626.8% YoY · reported FY net loss of $70M · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.

FY revenue

$110M

2025-12

Latest Q YoY

+626.8%

FY net loss

$70M

Diluted EPS

$-0.44

Short-sale volume share

51.5%

2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 52.8% · near recent average

Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.

🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)

Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.

2026-08-11SCHEDULE 13G/AChuang Xi Capital Ltd

Historical results versus analyst expectations

🎯 Market expectations

Estimate context score Low · 38/100

Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data

This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.

Next quarter (Dec 2026) consensus$0.10Estimate range -$0.07 ~ $0.34 · 9 analystsRevisions (4w):↑1↓7

History: actual vs consensusavg +84.8%

Sep 2026$0.84 vs $0.42+100%
Jun 2026$0.18 vs $0.16+12.5%
Mar 2026$0.21 vs $0.15+40%
Dec 2025$0.43 vs $0.15+186.67%

Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice

Analyst consensus and disagreement

Target-price summary $34.00–$243.00 · Consensus $104.71

Buy / hold / sell 12 / 4 / 3

Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:15:23.096Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.

Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.10 · $-0.07–$0.34 · 9 analysts

Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 7

Estimate dispersion 410.0%

Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:15:23.047Z

04Is now a good time?

Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.

Technical structure · Downtrend structure

MA5 $66.27

MA10 $69.68

MA20 $76.58

MA60 $84.52

Last completed-session close $63.82 (-4.92%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.71×

Prior 20-session range $63.56–$92.17 · MA20 change over five sessions -5.42% · CMF20 -0.00

Long upper wick; rally rejected

Confirmation to watch: a close above $92.17 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $63.56 weakens the setup.

Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12

Price and news

Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.

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05What would change our assessment?

Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.

Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.

Additional risk evidence and model detail

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Market View

Crowding

Risk temperature

Tail risk

Triggers

Price and volume

Insider signals

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