🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $1.4B · latest quarter up 22.7% YoY · profitable (FY net income $1.9B) · short activity below its recent average — bears covering.
FY revenue
$1.4B
2026-06
Latest Q YoY
+22.7%
FY net income
$1.9B
Diluted EPS
$5.76
Short volume
42%
20d avg 49.4% · shorts covering
🐋 5%+ ownership filings (last 180d)
The parties below hold over 5% of this company and disclosed it to the SEC (mandatory in US markets). "Activist" filers state an intent to influence the company; "Passive" are pure investment positions.
- 2026-08-12passive (13G)Capital World Investors
- 2026-07-16passive (13G)JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
- 2026-05-11passive (13G)MORGAN STANLEY
- 2026-05-06passive (13G)FMR LLC
- 2026-03-26passive (13G)VANGUARD GROUP INC
🎯 Market expectations
Expectation reliability Low · 38/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · the pre-news baseline
There is no clear consensus on this stock (thin coverage or wide disagreement) — 'beating expectations' means little here.
- Jun 2026$4.62 vs $0.33+1300%
- Mar 2026$0.30 vs $0.17+76.47%
- Dec 2025$0.37 vs $0.28+32.14%
- Sep 2025$0.23 vs $0.11+109.09%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
🧭 +5.1% today with no fresh news · why?
- 📊 Market+2.2%S&P +0.9% × beta 2.6
- 💸 Money flowMFI 63 · net outflow · volume 0.8× average
- 🔀 PeersPYPL +0.8%SOFI +0.6%SEZL +0.4%XYZ +0.2%UPST +2%Peers are mixed today — this move looks more stock-specific.
- 🕰️ Old news, still digesting▲ Affirm surges on strong outlook, CEO says high gstructural impact active, ~44 days left
- 🕰️ Old news, still digesting▲ Is Affirm's Australia Comeback a Meaningful Growstructural impact active, ~44 days left
- ❓ Remainder~+2.9% has no clear driver = market noise. Moves without reasons are normal — don't force a story.
Educational decomposition · not investment advice
What's moving this stock lately
8 direct · 4 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by impact strength · strength = estimated move × freshness decay (shorter-lived effects decay faster)
An earnings beat, but against a history of ~379% average beats the marginal surprise is modest, and the consensus is thin—so the upside is limited.
Also named: SOFI · PYPL · SQ · V
Revenue up 22.7% YoY with strong net income, but given a historical average beat of +379% and a wide estimate range (60.6% of consensus), this quarter's strength carries limited incremental new information for the stock
Also named: KLAR · SQ · PYPL · SYF · COF
- #3Force1.47%bullishDirectAffirm surges on strong outlook, CEO says high gas prices are hitting U.S. shoppers16d ago
Strong outlook but title notes shares already surged; most of the pop is priced in, and the stock's history of massive beats was already anticipated
Also named: SOFI · PYPL · SQ · AMZN · TGT
Call confirms profitability and 22.7% revenue growth; fundamentals solid but results already digested, leaving limited upside from here.
Also named: SEZL · PYPL · SQ
The Australia relaunch is a long-term growth option but contributes little near-term against AFRM's $1.4B annual revenue base; next-quarter EPS consensus is unusually wide ($0.24-$0.44), leaving the market without a reliable anchor to price in strongly.
Also named: ZIP.AX · XYZ · PYPL · SHOP
- #6Force0.88%bearishDirectSoFi Dips 3% Despite Reported Kraken Crypto Settlement Tie-Up; Affirm Drops 5%, Robinhood Holds Steady4d ago
SoFi's push into crypto settlement stokes competitive concerns for the BNPL space; the 5% drop already reflects most of this concern
Also named: SOFI · HOOD · PYPL · COIN
- #7Force0.85%bearish2nd-orderPayPal's BNPL and Credit Growth: Can It be a Further Upside Driver?9d ago
PayPal's push into BNPL intensifies competitive pressure on pure-play BNPL providers like Affirm, potentially diverting merchant and consumer share.
Also named: PYPL · SQ · MA
The BNPL erosion of PayPal's checkout share highlighted in the piece positions pure-play Affirm as a potential beneficiary
Also named: PYPL · SQ · AAPL
- #9Force0.46%bearish2nd-orderHere's Why SoFi Isn't Reaching All-Time Highs After a Record Quarter6d ago
Broader consumer credit-tech valuation multiples under pressure, dragging shares via sentiment spillover
Also named: SOFI · UPST · LC
- #10Force0.39%bearishDirectSoFi Drops 4%, Affirm Falls 5% as Yields Hit Balance-Sheet Lenders, Robinhood Holds Steady12d ago
Affirm retains a portion of BNPL loans on balance sheet, and rising yields raise its capital-markets funding and securitization costs, pressuring unit economics.
Also named: SOFI · OMF · UPST · LC · HOOD · IBKR
The rest, archived by time · 2
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📜 Call history (newest first
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