What's moving this stock lately
11 direct · 3 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by relevance and recency.
Record quarterly revenue and raised full-year guidance, with AI monetization landing to ease the core fear of GenAI eroding subscriptions; still, the modest average miss over the past four quarters means the guidance credibility is what drives the re-rating.
Also named: FIG · CRM · NOW · MSFT
- #2Impact1.66%bullishDirectADBE Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise on Subscription Growth27d ago
Q3 revenue and EPS both beat, reversing the recent trend of slight misses; subscription growth is solid, but the beat is modest and AI-displacement fears persist.
Also named: FIGMA · CRM
- #3Impact1.66%bearishDirectAdobe Stock Faces Mixed Analyst Takeaways as AI ARR Soars, Overall Growth Slows27d ago
Soaring AI ARR is a long-term positive, but slowing overall growth and a recent track record of small misses leave analysts divided, capping near-term multiple expansion.
Also named: CRM · FIGS
As the reporting company, +12.7% revenue growth and 89% gross margin show a solid core, but a slight average miss over the past four quarters keeps the AI-monetization narrative the key valuation swing factor.
Also named: CRM · FIGM
Record Q3 signals healthy subscription momentum, but with an average 0.6% miss over the past four quarters and no breakthrough AI monetization, the beat offers limited new information.
Also named: CRM · CRWD · FIGMA
- #6Impact1.61%bearishDirectAdobe set for inline Q3 results as new CEO era begins amid AI valuation reset28d ago
An inline result offers no upside catalyst; the AI-native threat to the Creative Cloud narrative keeps the multiple compressed, and a new CEO has yet to prove out strategy.
Also named: ADSK · MSFT
- #7Impact1.1%bullishDirectAdobe to offer free access to AI tools in Saudi Arabia in $4 billion deal38d ago
A $4bn deal is material against $23.8bn annual revenue and bolsters the AI-monetisation narrative, easing concerns over Firefly's monetisation pace
Also named: CRM · MSFT · AMZN
Slowing growth and AI monetization concerns keep pressuring the valuation, extending a pattern of modest misses over recent quarters
Also named: ORCL · NVDA · MSFT · CRM · USO · XOM
- #9Impact0.82%bearish2nd-orderMeta's Muse agent is attacking one of the economy's most profitable weak spots11d ago
As agencies and design workflows get replaced by AI generation, demand for Adobe's creative tools is indirectly weakened.
Also named: META · WPP · OMC · IPG · SNAP · PINS
Revenue +12.7% YoY and 89.3% gross margin show a solid subscription base, but with an average beat of only 0.4% over four quarters, results are largely priced into the high-reliability consensus from 12 analysts
Also named: FIGM · CRM · MSFT
The rest, archived by time · 4
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate coverage High · 85/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · the pre-news baseline
- Aug 2026$4.75 vs $4.86-2.26%
- May 2026$4.58 vs $4.74-3.38%
- Feb 2026$4.83 vs $4.85-0.41%
- Nov 2025$4.55 vs $4.39+3.64%
The takeaway
It has tracked consensus closely — no systematic over- or under-shooting. Analysts made 6 upward revisions over the past four weeks. Analysts cut estimates 5× in 4 weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $23.8B · latest quarter up 12.9% YoY · profitable (FY net income $7.1B) · short activity within its normal range.
FY revenue
$23.8B
2025-11
Latest Q YoY
+12.9%
Gross margin
89.3%
FY net income
$7.1B
Diluted EPS
$16.73
Short volume
61.6%
20d avg 56.4% · normal
🐋 5%+ ownership filings (last 180d)
The following investors reported beneficial ownership of more than 5% in recent SEC filings. "Activist" filers stated an intent to influence control of the company; "Passive" indicates the filer did not report such an intent.
- 2026-08-07passive (13G)STATE STREET CORP
- 2026-07-27passive (13G)BlackRock, Inc.
- 2026-04-29passive (13G)VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
🕰️ Price × news · analysis history
Drag to pan, scroll to zoom · real daily bars and volume
📜 Call history (newest first
73 past analyses of this stock, each checked against what the price did afterwards · sign up to view
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