专项研究 · Dip Research

newstock.ai

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Key levels and trade conditions

Delayed quotes · Technical conditions

$193.78 USD2026-11-13 19:40 UTC

Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.

Hold and monitor; no addition yet

Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.

Defense$184.63

Breakout$210.52

Mid-range

To defense -4.7%To breakout +8.6%

Medium-term reference (not the near-term trigger)Defense $188.88 · Breakout $267.87

When does defense take priority?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close below $184.63 → consider reducing

When to consider adding?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close above $210.52 → consider a staged addition

Completed session: 2026-11-12 · Completed-session volume ratio 0.73× · MA20 $223.83

Range basis session: 2026-11-12 · Yahoo Finance

Level methodology and recent changes

Near term: trigger levels use the five sessions preceding the latest completed session, never that session’s own high/low. Confirmation requires a close beyond the boundary and 1.5× prior-20-session average volume. The crossed level becomes the new reference; any next boundary comes from observed prior-20-session highs/lows. The five-session range rolls after the next completed session, not with intraday quotes.

Current base window starts: 2026-11-06

2026-09-14 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $159.20–$177.14 → $177.14–— · Close $191.73 / 2.52×
2026-09-04 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $171.32–$190.47 → $168.00–$171.32 · Close $169.80 / 2.98×
2026-08-27 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $160.13–$184.98 → $184.98–$188.73 · Close $187.30 / 1.79×
2026-08-10 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $151.21–$169.77 → $169.77–— · Close $176.68 / 1.58×

Tilt shows price location, not a probability. Combine technical signals with company research and your risk tolerance. No trades are executed.

01Newstock overall assessment

The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.

Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.

02What happened recently

Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.

US 10Y yield 5.15%2026-11-13T19:27:04.000Z

VIX 18.982026-11-13T19:27:01.000Z

Dollar index 103.392026-11-13T19:32:08.000Z

Market and sector reference

ZS +0.16% · SPY -0.51% · Peer average -1.07% (CRWD, FTNT, NET, OKTA, PANW)

2026-11-13T19:39:38.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.

03Is the company worth considering?

Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.

Analyst consensus and disagreement

Target-price summary $170.00–$298.00 · Consensus $239.50

Buy / hold / sell 30 / 6 / 0

Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T19:42:39.260Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.

Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $0.12 · $0.11–$0.18 · 12 analysts

Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 0

Estimate dispersion 58.3%

Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T19:42:39.125Z

04Is now a good time?

Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.

Technical structure · Mixed structure

MA5 $195.73

MA10 $209.37

MA20 $223.83

MA60 $204.01

Last completed-session close $193.22 (-0.30%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.73×

Prior 20-session range $188.88–$267.87 · MA20 change over five sessions -3.26% · CMF20 -0.00

Confirmation to watch: a close above $267.87 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $188.88 weakens the setup.

Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12

05What would change our assessment?

Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.

Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.