专项研究 · Dip Research

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正在读取抄底盘 · Loading Dip Watch…

Key levels and trade conditions

Delayed quotes · Technical conditions

$112.87 USD2026-11-13 19:30 UTC

Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.

Hold and monitor; no addition yet

Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.

Defense$112.32

Breakout$130.64

Toward defense ↙

To defense -0.5%To breakout +15.7%

Medium-term reference (not the near-term trigger)Defense $121.38 · Breakout $171.19

When does defense take priority?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close below $112.32 → consider reducing

When to consider adding?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close above $130.64 → consider a staged addition

Completed session: 2026-11-12 · Completed-session volume ratio 1.10× · MA20 $135.50

Range basis session: 2026-11-12 · Yahoo Finance

Level methodology and recent changes

Near term: trigger levels use the five sessions preceding the latest completed session, never that session’s own high/low. Confirmation requires a close beyond the boundary and 1.5× prior-20-session average volume. The crossed level becomes the new reference; any next boundary comes from observed prior-20-session highs/lows. The five-session range rolls after the next completed session, not with intraday quotes.

Current base window starts: 2026-11-06

2026-10-30 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $137.26–$152.21 → —–$137.26 · Close $130.51 / 1.84×
2026-09-21 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $123.33–$154.02 → $154.02–— · Close $168.50 / 1.51×
2026-09-18 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $123.33–$137.89 → $137.89–— · Close $153.92 / 2.00×
2026-09-03 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $121.38–$139.78 → $139.78–— · Close $144.82 / 1.73×
2026-08-27 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $108.35–$128.66 → $128.66–— · Close $137.40 / 1.92×

Tilt shows price location, not a probability. Combine technical signals with company research and your risk tolerance. No trades are executed.

01Newstock overall assessment

The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.

Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.

02What happened recently

Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.

US 10Y yield 5.15%2026-11-13T19:21:54.000Z

VIX 19.072026-11-13T19:21:46.000Z

Dollar index 103.392026-11-13T19:27:00.000Z

Market and sector reference

MSTR -1.52% · SPY -0.54% · Peer average -5.50% (BTBT, CLSK, COIN, HIVE, HUT, MARA)

2026-11-13T19:21:33.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.

03Is the company worth considering?

Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.

Analyst consensus and disagreement

Target-price summary $100.00–$350.00 · Consensus $217.92

Buy / hold / sell 12 / 1 / 0

Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T19:39:32.017Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.

Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $24.90 · $-0.88–$44.59 · 3 analysts

Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 1

Estimate dispersion 182.6%

Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T19:39:28.839Z

04Is now a good time?

Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.

Technical structure · Downtrend structure

MA5 $122.47

MA10 $128.11

MA20 $135.50

MA60 $140.77

Last completed-session close $114.41 (-6.49%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 1.10×

Prior 20-session range $118.43–$155.69 · MA20 change over five sessions -4.96% · CMF20 -0.06

Long upper wick; rally rejected

Confirmation to watch: a close above $155.69 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $118.43 weakens the setup.

Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12

05What would change our assessment?

Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.

Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.