专项研究 · Dip Research

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Key levels and trade conditions

Delayed quotes · Technical conditions

$17.84 USD2026-11-13 19:38 UTC

Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.

Below defense; watch reduction conditions

Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.

Defense$18.43

Breakout$22.46

Toward defense ↙

To defense +3.3%To breakout +25.9%

Medium-term reference (not the near-term trigger)Defense $17.16 · Breakout $21.86

When does defense take priority?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close below $18.43 → consider reducing

When to consider adding?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close above $22.46 → consider a staged addition

Completed session: 2026-11-12 · Completed-session volume ratio 1.02× · MA20 $24.04

Range basis session: 2026-11-12 · Yahoo Finance

Level methodology and recent changes

Near term: trigger levels use the five sessions preceding the latest completed session, never that session’s own high/low. Confirmation requires a close beyond the boundary and 1.5× prior-20-session average volume. The crossed level becomes the new reference; any next boundary comes from observed prior-20-session highs/lows. The five-session range rolls after the next completed session, not with intraday quotes.

Current base window starts: 2026-11-06

2026-11-05 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $21.05–$27.83 → —–$21.05 · Close $18.03 / 2.21×
2026-10-14 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $32.69–$40.50 → —–$32.69 · Close $30.56 / 1.99×
2026-10-08 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $38.34–$43.91 → —–$38.34 · Close $35.71 / 1.55×
2026-10-07 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $39.33–$43.91 → —–$39.33 · Close $38.69 / 1.51×
2026-08-28 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $39.36–$45.93 → $35.16–$39.36 · Close $35.45 / 2.04×

Tilt shows price location, not a probability. Combine technical signals with company research and your risk tolerance. No trades are executed.

01Newstock overall assessment

The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.

Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.

02What happened recently

Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.

US 10Y yield 5.15%2026-11-13T19:27:04.000Z

VIX 18.982026-11-13T19:27:01.000Z

Dollar index 103.392026-11-13T19:32:08.000Z

Market and sector reference

IREN -8.47% · SPY -0.51% · Peer average -5.46% (APLD, BE, CIFR, CORZ, CRWV, KEEL)

2026-11-13T19:41:10.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.

03Is the company worth considering?

Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.

Analyst consensus and disagreement

Target-price summary $30.00–$79.00 · Consensus $56.50

Buy / hold / sell 8 / 3 / 0

Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T19:42:19.300Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.

Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $-0.41 · $-0.88–$-0.04 · 3 analysts

Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 2

Estimate dispersion 204.9%

Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T19:42:19.053Z

04Is now a good time?

Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.

Technical structure · Downtrend structure

MA5 $20.62

MA10 $21.33

MA20 $24.04

MA60 $35.36

Last completed-session close $19.48 (-6.53%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 1.02×

Prior 20-session range $17.16–$30.46 · MA20 change over five sessions -11.53% · CMF20 -0.11

Distribution-like weak closes (inference)

Confirmation to watch: a close above $30.46 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $17.16 weakens the setup.

Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12

05What would change our assessment?

Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.

Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.