专项研究 · Dip Research

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Key levels and trade conditions

Delayed quotes · Technical conditions

$22.66 USD2026-11-13 19:39 UTC

Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.

Hold and monitor; no addition yet

Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.

Defense$20.25

Breakout$24.20

Mid-range

To defense -10.6%To breakout +6.8%

Medium-term reference (not the near-term trigger)Defense $20.06 · Breakout $31.68

When does defense take priority?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close below $20.25 → consider reducing

When to consider adding?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close above $24.20 → consider a staged addition

Completed session: 2026-11-12 · Completed-session volume ratio 0.94× · MA20 $25.64

Range basis session: 2026-11-12 · Yahoo Finance

Level methodology and recent changes

Near term: trigger levels use the five sessions preceding the latest completed session, never that session’s own high/low. Confirmation requires a close beyond the boundary and 1.5× prior-20-session average volume. The crossed level becomes the new reference; any next boundary comes from observed prior-20-session highs/lows. The five-session range rolls after the next completed session, not with intraday quotes.

Current base window starts: 2026-11-06

2026-11-05 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $22.20–$29.01 → —–$22.20 · Close $20.71 / 1.86×
2026-11-02 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $23.76–$29.43 → —–$23.76 · Close $22.54 / 1.80×
2026-10-30 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $26.88–$29.43 → —–$26.88 · Close $23.90 / 2.40×
2026-09-16 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $33.39–$39.56 → $31.00–$33.39 · Close $32.08 / 1.63×
2026-08-13 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $23.00–$25.01 → $25.01–— · Close $27.48 / 2.52×

Tilt shows price location, not a probability. Combine technical signals with company research and your risk tolerance. No trades are executed.

01Newstock overall assessment

The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.

Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.

02What happened recently

Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.

US 10Y yield 5.15%2026-11-13T19:21:54.000Z

VIX 19.072026-11-13T19:21:46.000Z

Dollar index 103.392026-11-13T19:27:00.000Z

Market and sector reference

BLSH -4.56%

2026-11-13T17:20:30.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.

03Is the company worth considering?

Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.

Analyst consensus and disagreement

Target-price summary $28.00–$51.00 · Consensus $41.10

Buy / hold / sell 5 / 5 / 0

Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T19:39:29.358Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.

Next-quarter EPS estimate (Sep 2026) $0.06 · $0.00–$0.10 · 4 analysts

Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 1

Estimate dispersion 166.7%

Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T19:39:28.296Z

04Is now a good time?

Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.

Technical structure · Downtrend structure

MA5 $22.60

MA10 $22.62

MA20 $25.64

MA60 $31.43

Last completed-session close $23.17 (-1.53%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.94×

Prior 20-session range $20.06–$32.01 · MA20 change over five sessions -8.11% · CMF20 -0.10

Distribution-like weak closes (inference)

Confirmation to watch: a close above $32.01 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $20.06 weakens the setup.

Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12

05What would change our assessment?

Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.

Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.